In The Economist Intelligence Unit’s latest Global Outlook video, Agathe Demarais, Cailin Birch and Mark Keller discuss the upcoming US presidential election and our outlook for US-Mexico relations.

Economic conditions surrounding presidential elections are a key determinant of voter behaviour. Global economist Cailin Birch discusses why the coronavirus-induced recession is just one of a number of factors currently against Donald Trump, and why we expect Joe Biden to win the poll in November.

Staying in the Americas, Mark Keller analyses the recent visit of the Mexican president, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, to the White House. Given some of Mr Trump’s past rhetoric in relation to Mexico, the meeting between the two leaders to inaugurate the USMCA was surprisingly warm.

To find out more about the political, policy and economic outlook in these countries, check out our country analysis and five-year forecasts. With detailed reports available for more than 190 countries around the world, our insights provide truly global coverage to help you to prepare for what’s ahead.