EIU Nowcast: US economy is starting to feel the coronavirus hit

2024-04-07 10:45

    • The EIU nowcast for Q1 2020 GDP growth fell 0.14 percentage points to 1.88% (Y-o-Y) as of March 16th, from 2.02% as on March 6th.

    • Manufacturing survey data, for March, from the New York Fed–released yesterday–recorded its sharpest monthly drop, in light of the COVID-19 related disruptions in the economy.

    • Advanced reading of March consumer sentiments data (from University of Michigan) also fell significantly last week, dragging the nowcast lower.

    • To get the full background to our EIU Nowcast, view our methodology and FAQs page or contact us using the form below.

    Data releases (last week)

    IndicatorsReference PeriodRelease Date
    University of Michigan: Consumer Sentiment [Flash] (NSA, Q1-66=100)Mar (20’)13th Mar 2020
    University of Michigan: Current Economic Conditions [Flash] (NSA, Q1-66=100)Mar (20’)13th Mar 2020
    University of Michigan: Consumer Expectations [Flash] (NSA, Q1-66=100)Mar (20’)13th Mar 2020
    Empire State Manufacturing Survey (seasonally adjusted diffusion index)Mar (20’)16th Mar 2020

    Data releases (current week)

    IndicatorsReference PeriodRelease Date
    Retail Sales & Food Services (SA, Mil.$)Feb (20’)17th Mar 2020
    Industrial Production Index (SA, 2012=100)Feb (20’)17th Mar 2020
    Capacity Utilization: Industry (SA, Percent of Capacity)Feb (20’)17th Mar 2020
    New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permit [Flash] (SAAR, Thous.Units)Feb (20’)18th Mar 2020
    Housing Starts (SAAR, Thous.Units)Feb (20’)18th Mar 2020

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