NEWS

Latest updates

• Examining the business environment impact of climate pledges

  • Ahead of COP26, the EIU will be hosting two free virtual event sessions on Thursday, October 21st. Join our expert analysts as they explore the business environment impact of climate pledges. Register here.
• Africa: what to watch in 2022

  • Africa suffered an almost fully synchronised economic downturn in 2020, but the region has largely emerged from recession in 2021, and the recovery looks set to accelerate in 2022.
• Latam currencies continue to falter

  • A new wave of asset sell-offs has placed fresh depreciation pressures on the region’s currencies. Given the uncertain political and policy climate, it appears increasingly likely that Latin American currencies will undergo another stress test in 2022.
• Facebook’s real challenge is competition, not regulation

  • Following the testimony of former employee Frances Haugen, Facebook is under heavy pressure over claims that it fails to protect children and other users from harmful content.
• Asian demand is a boon for US LNG as Europe is left behind

  • Higher demand for natural gas for the winter months has been exacerbated by a supply shock in Europe. European prices surged by just over 90% in the third quarter, to US$16.9/mmBtu, and we expect a further 10% rise in the fourth quarter, to about US$18.5/mmBtu, making for a year-on-year increase of nearly 300%. Prices in the US jumped by nearly 50%, to US$4.3/mmBtu, and are expected to rise by 11%, to US$4.8/mmBtu in the fourth quarter, making for a 91% rise in prices year on year.
• 10 risk scenarios for global growth and inflation in 2022

  • Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has today released its Risk Outlook for 2022. The report predicts the ten biggest risk scenarios that could impact world growth and inflation in the coming year.
• Latam’s monetary policy tightening gets aggressive

  • An aggressive 125‑basis‑point policy rate rise by Chile in mid-October has provided yet another signal that Latin America’s central banks are responding firmly to inflationary pressures, with a monetary-tightening cycle that is likely to endure for much of 2022.
• Global Outlook: how would the US react if China tried to seize Taiwan?

  • In the EIU’s latest global outlook video, Agathe Demarais, Andrew Viteritti and Dexter Thillien discuss the global implications of a potential Chinese attempt to annex Taiwan.
• Food security remains a major issue in MENA

  • We expect the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region to remain one of the most import-dependent in the world in the medium and long term. About 50% of the region’s food is imported.
• G20 summit communiqué delivers little for climate

  • The final communiqué from the G20 summit in Rome reaffirmed a commitment to keep the goal of limiting the global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius “within reach”. However, it made few concrete commitments beyond an agreement to phase out overseas coal financing this year.

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