NEWS

Latest updates

• Macron to face Le Pen in French election run-off

  • Following the first-round vote on April 10th, Emmanuel Macron, the incumbent, and Marine Le Pen, the main far-right candidate, have qualified for the second round of the presidential election, to be held on April 24th.
• EIU launches Financial Risk

  • EIU has today launched Financial Risk. The solution integrates risk scores and ratings with thematic analysis and forecast data.
• Global wheat trade faces constraints amid Russia’s invasion

  • Russia and Ukraine accounted for 30% of the global wheat trade before Russia’s invasion. Since then, war, logistical issues and sanctions (in Russia’s case) have significantly reduced the ability of both countries to remain reliable suppliers.
• Can Fico Gutiérrez defeat Gustavo Petro?

  • As Colombia’s presidential election gets closer, it has become increasingly clear that the left-wing senator, Gustavo Petro, who has long led in the polls, and Federico “Fico” Gutiérrez, who emerged from the March primary election as the most competitive right-wing candidate, will fight a close race. Mr Petro has around 35% of voting intentions compared with just under 25% for Mr Gutiérrez, a situation that will (as EIU has long forecast) take the dispute to a second-round run-off on June 19th, when the two leading candidates from the first round will run neck and neck.
• Global Outlook: Europe feeling the effect of Russian sanctions

  • In EIU’s latest global outlook video global forecasting director, Agathe Demarais, and principal economist for Europe, Emily Mansfield, discuss the economic impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, specifically how European economies are starting to feel the effect of formal sanctions placed on Russia.
• APAC governments step up the fight to combat inflation amid roadblocks

  • Asia’s governments are stepping up their efforts to combat the inflation rate and defend local currencies. Besides monetary policy tightening—as we note below, Australia’s central bank will be one to watch this coming week—Asia-Pacific (APAC) governments are providing additional fiscal support (Japan), restricting imports (Nepal) and introducing outright export bans (Indonesia) to mitigate inflation growth.
• Can Latin America’s economy grow faster?

  • EIU’s latest whitepaper looks at the impact of the Ukraine war on Latin America’s economy, which countries are set to prosper this year, and which could falter.
• Russia-Ukraine: a war without end?

  • EIU said several days after the Russian invasion of Ukraine that the outcome of the war was unlikely to conform to Russia’s original game plan of a swift toppling of the government, and so it has proved.
• How tech regionalisation could lead to the splinternet

  • China has reportedly asked its public administration to replace all foreign PCs with domestic ones within two years
• Russian and Ukrainian commodities review: base metals

  • Russia is a major producer of base metals, notably aluminium and nickel. The country is the second-biggest (for nickel) and the tenth-biggest (for aluminium and copper) global exporter of these metals, which are used in sectors ranging from steel and automotive production to consumer goods and aerospace industries.

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